Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#14
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#22
Pace68.6#136
Improvement+3.9#45

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#48
Improvement+3.0#40

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#12
Improvement+0.8#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 4.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 80.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round69.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen36.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.6% n/a n/a
Final Four6.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.5% n/a n/a
National Champion1.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2011 50   New Mexico St. L 53-62 80%     0 - 1 -3.9 -19.3 +15.6
  Nov 18, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. W 76-71 90%     1 - 1 +5.0 +0.7 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2011 289   Santa Clara L 76-79 OT 97%     1 - 2 -10.6 -1.5 -9.1
  Nov 25, 2011 136   Washington St. W 72-62 86%     2 - 2 +12.3 -3.6 +15.7
  Nov 27, 2011 252   Boston College W 75-57 95%     3 - 2 +12.6 +3.0 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2011 300   Idaho St. W 65-41 98%     4 - 2 +11.7 -12.1 +24.9
  Dec 03, 2011 97   Missouri St. W 76-60 87%     5 - 2 +17.6 +5.4 +12.3
  Dec 10, 2011 219   @ USC W 44-41 89%     6 - 2 +3.3 -16.8 +20.4
  Dec 17, 2011 90   Oklahoma St. W 66-56 79%     7 - 2 +15.4 -3.8 +19.4
  Dec 20, 2011 292   Montana St. W 91-46 98%     8 - 2 +33.6 +8.9 +22.9
  Dec 22, 2011 283   UMKC W 87-62 98%     9 - 2 +14.5 +4.4 +9.2
  Dec 28, 2011 50   @ New Mexico St. W 89-69 58%     10 - 2 +31.9 +13.2 +16.7
  Dec 31, 2011 20   Saint Louis W 64-60 66%     11 - 2 +13.7 +6.0 +8.2
  Jan 03, 2012 325   Houston Baptist W 98-61 99%     12 - 2 +21.0 +17.4 +3.3
  Jan 07, 2012 272   North Dakota W 85-57 98%     13 - 2 +18.2 +8.8 +9.2
  Jan 14, 2012 75   @ Wyoming W 72-62 65%     14 - 2 1 - 0 +20.1 +17.0 +4.4
  Jan 18, 2012 46   San Diego St. L 70-75 79%     14 - 3 1 - 1 +0.3 +7.0 -7.1
  Jan 21, 2012 26   @ UNLV L 63-80 46%     14 - 4 1 - 2 -2.0 +1.8 -4.7
  Jan 25, 2012 72   Colorado St. W 85-52 84%     15 - 4 2 - 2 +36.4 +11.0 +26.0
  Jan 28, 2012 143   TCU W 71-54 92%     16 - 4 3 - 2 +15.3 -1.8 +17.9
  Jan 31, 2012 173   @ Air Force W 81-42 85%     17 - 4 4 - 2 +42.0 +13.7 +29.9
  Feb 04, 2012 134   @ Boise St. W 65-49 78%     18 - 4 5 - 2 +21.7 -4.4 +26.5
  Feb 11, 2012 75   Wyoming W 48-38 84%     19 - 4 6 - 2 +13.3 -11.4 +26.4
  Feb 15, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. W 77-67 57%     20 - 4 7 - 2 +22.1 +13.0 +9.4
  Feb 18, 2012 26   UNLV W 65-45 71%     21 - 4 8 - 2 +28.2 +0.3 +28.8
  Feb 21, 2012 72   @ Colorado St. L 63-71 64%     21 - 5 8 - 3 +2.2 -11.0 +13.5
  Feb 25, 2012 143   @ TCU L 64-83 80%     21 - 6 8 - 4 -13.9 -8.7 -5.2
  Feb 29, 2012 173   Air Force W 86-56 94%     22 - 6 9 - 4 +26.2 +14.6 +12.5
  Mar 03, 2012 134   Boise St. W 76-61 91%     23 - 6 10 - 4 +13.9 +10.5 +5.2
  Mar 08, 2012 173   Air Force W 79-64 90%     24 - 6 +14.6 +13.4 +2.5
  Mar 09, 2012 26   UNLV W 72-67 59%     25 - 6 +16.6 +9.9 +6.9
  Mar 10, 2012 46   San Diego St. W 68-59 69%     26 - 6 +17.7 +1.8 +16.1
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 10.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 0.6 4.2 34.8 40.7 17.0 2.6 0.2
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.8 0.0 0.6 4.2 34.8 40.7 17.0 2.6 0.2